by Kshitij Gautam 6 August 2021
Nearly 40 years Afghanistan sees humanitarian crisis. One of the biggest factors of the situation of Afghanistan is their chauvinist religious leader who want religious supremacy above all. There are other factors also as too much involvement of other countries like USA, Russia and now China. Afghanistan is in the news in 2021 because USA after the newly elected government announces that they will be left Afghanistan, this symbolizes that ‘war is over’. However, it was anticipated that newly government will announce the exit plan even though government of Afghanistan didn’t do anything to save the people of country as intel report says that after US left the country, elected government will not last long for even 6 months. Taliban started spreading theirs legs in the Afghanistan even before US army left completely. UN announces humanitarian crisis in the country and urge developed nation to help the Afghanistan. Many countrymen left the Afghanistan and takes shelters in Pakistan and Iran. Seeing the ramification of COVID-19, it is the dangerous choice to take as Iran and Pakistan also suffers from the pandemic.
Taking land territory more aggressively ever Taliban proves the intelligence report right and consequences will be suffered by whole sub-continent, as India lost its brave journalist Danish Siddiqui in the conflict area, and also sword is swinging over 3 billion dollar which India invested in the Afghanistan which included Parliament building, roads, dams etc. If we put aside investment for a while then also unlike US, India shared a territory border with the Afghanistan which create enormous danger for India as the anti- India group of Taliban will activate after the US exit as JeM and Lashkar-e-Taiba member largely resides in the Afghan country. Talking about India relation with Afghanistan, it always one way as India wants to support and establish their presence in the country and acknowledged the Afghan government unlike Pakistan which support Taliban. But Taliban always emerged as a steeping block in their relations. So, far India is using US army to build an infrastructure in the Afghan country but after the exist of US, India will have to find other way and even before that India has to take stand over the conflict. As Taliban doesn’t want India to interfere in this matter but there is India’s personal interest, and enormous amount of hard work over the years.
Afghanistan always on a critical point for the India, from ancient to modern India, the Khyber Pass is one of the most important trading points for the India, even today India builds their port only to connect with middle-east country. Surely, India will feel setback once US exit from the Afghanistan. However, over the years India create a base for herself in the Afghanistan by creating number of development project from irrigation system to power- generation, India always stands with the Afghanistan government in the shadow of the US army. But now as a report form the Long war Journal almost 157 district out of 407 is directly under the Taliban and 151 districts are contested which leaves only 79 district under the control of the elected government. Its shows a how India is also losing her base in Afghanistan as government will topple under 6 months according to the report published in WSJ and President of US also indirectly confirms this. There is a sign of change from the New Delhi towards the approach over Taliban as our neighbor country Pakistan among the first three country which recognizes the Taliban government in 1990s as it was established by the ISI and Pak government think it will well support their plan over Kashmir, but as now the Taliban is using forces which will create the problem for Pakistan, as large number of refugees influx from Afghanistan and use of violence will also de-motivate other country towards the recognition of Taliban as a government and Pakistan doesn’t want this. However, Indian government is thinking of recognition of Taliban after the exist of the US army because of its highly-driven investment and enormous diplomatic work and hard work and India doesn’t want to looses it. And if this happens then this will become a huge change in the mindset of the Indian government as India doesn’t support violence and Taliban, instead it supports democracy there.
India has invested into Afghanistan’s parliament building in order to support democracy there, with the entrance of China there can be prediction of Chinese puppet government there in the name of Taliban, it would work like a kill two birds with one stone for China, it can control both India and USA.