by M. Quaid Uddin 21 May 2023
And now we pass through a ground braking transitional period in global geopolitics that crystallises a brand new world order: Syria’s Assad joined Arab League summit in Jeddah, SA, while Ukraine’s Zelenskyy attends the same as an odd man, cause many stakeholders of that organisation keep strong ties with Putin of Russia.
While at the same time on the other side of the globe, G7 summit is taking place in Hiroshima, Japan.
We therefore, sense, the old allies are switching sides and shifting their loyalties from their former master (the US), and thus, building yet another brand new alliances. With that being said, it may also be mentioned that factually, there is no good news for Russia in Ukraine front as it is struggling on it’s war campaign there and going through a gradually loosing battle. Russia’s only hope now is to earn mere international recognition through western mediation to retain its grabbed portions of Ukrainian land so far, which would be a far cry given western proxy backing for Ukraine.
The US is struggling in the ME to keep its control on the wake of Chinese interest towards that region. Moreover, China aims at expanding its control over former Soviet satellite Central Asian countries that NATO, led by US, so long plans to include under its umbrella one day in near future.
As a counter measure, present US game plan (looks like) is focusing on tackling the rising China by building a strong and aggressive new alliance in Indo-Pacific region, mainly by highlighting Taiwan issue into the scenario as an excuse for confrontation with China. Therefore, this region is going to popup as a number one zone of global confrontation for years to come. Our “South Asia”, as a part of this greater region, would be in front line in this geopolitical confrontation. Nevertheless tackling the Chinese unstoppable ambitious progress would be a hard fought fight for present reigning power US. Yet US is not ready to give up to China easily without exerting its all out strength. Every country within the region is seems to get sucked into this confrontation one way or another.
Historically, it was observed that every geopolitical fight had some losers and some winners. There was never any previous win win situation in similar scenarios before. However, having that said, it was also observed, historically, the fights were, not necessarily, always harmful for every nation of a whole region. Rather, in fact, these types of fights used to bring opportunities for some countries too. The respective country that chooses to take side needs to asses its future aspirations and projected future benefits out of such confrontation before taking either side. For instance, as a South Asian country, Bangladesh has the opportunity to achieve lots from this confrontation to resolve Myanmar Rohingya crisis once and for all by claiming to reattach the territory of Myanmar’s muslim majority Rakhine State with Bangladesh. That would make right the historical wrong and missed opportunity that was lost during the partition of Indian subcontinent in 1947 with the help of powerful global and willing ally United States.
One big hurdle obstructing the whole endeavour would be the reestablishment of long lost democratic practices within the country of Bangladesh to bank on public agreement and support about the idea to begin with. A popular support is essential from within for the achievement of any aggressive ambition of any country. So, Bangladesh needs to reemerge as a robust DEMOCRATIC country immediately before we loose our turn once again.