Author's Posts

  • India’s Migrant Labor Pains0

    To contain the spread of Covid-19, India’s prime minister announced a lockdown for 1.3 billion people as of March 25 with four-hour notice. For millions in India’s cities and towns, jobs vanished overnight, along with access to shelter and food. “The pandemic exposed precarious living conditions for the nation’s poor in overcrowded shanties where social

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  • Don’t Blame Supply Chains0

    Political leaders, frustrated by collapsing economies due to the Covid-19 pandemic, consider providing assistance for domestic companies to pull operations out of China. “The goal is threefold: Punish China for the coronavirus, eliminate a source of vulnerability in production lines of critical equipment, and bring back home, via reshoring, offshore platforms that have undermined and

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  • Irresponsible Superpowers Must Cooperate0

    Governments that endured the SARS pandemic in 2003 were generally more prepared for Covid-19. Such pandemics emerge with little warning, challenging a global multilateral system largely structured around collective security and trade. Both diseases – linked with globalization, a complex phenomenon not easily reversed – offer lessons for global governance, signaling the need for adaptation

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  • Global Population: Too Few Versus Too Many0

    When fertility rates drift from an average of about two births per woman, societies must manage population bulges of very young or old. Nigeria has a fertility rate of 5.5 children per woman, with a median age of 18. The median age for Italy, with a rate of 1.3 children per woman, is 45. Such

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  • World Population: 2020 Overview0

    • Blog
    • February 11, 2020

    Understanding global demographic trends is essential for government and business planners, offering insights into resolving numerous challenges. World population growth is slightly ahead of what was projected a few years ago, reports demographer Joseph Chamie. More than half the world lives in urban areas today, and that is expected to rise to 70 percent by

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  • Sino-Russian Ties Imperil Strategic Arms Control0

    • Blog
    • January 23, 2020

    The last treaty limiting Russian-US nuclear weapons, New START, expires in February. The Trump administration would prefer a comprehensive agreement including more strategic weapons and countries, especially China, explains Richard Weitz, senior fellow and director of the Center for Political-Military Analysis at the Hudson Institute. The John D. and Catherine T. MacArthur Foundation support his

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  • Climate Change and Intellectual Dishonesty0

    • Blog
    • January 16, 2020

    The costs of climate change are mounting, yet the UN Climate Change Conference in December failed to reach substantial agreements on policies or funding for mitigation. Business and government leaders regard economic growth as paramount even as climate scientists warn that a warming climate will erode economic security for millions. “Only full redesign of our

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  • Global Economy Dodges Bullets, But Stuck in Mud0

    • Blog
    • November 25, 2019

      The world economy slows, yet by sustaining steady economic growth the US economy has avoided recession. But the global economy can anticipate sluggish growth due to China-US trade tensions, slow business investment despite downward pressure on interest rates, fears about retirement and social safety nets, and failure to prepare for climate change and transition away

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  • Why Iran Declines to Renegotiate0

    • Blog
    • November 12, 2019

    Donald Trump pulled the United States from the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action for Iran’s nuclear program in May 2018, insisting the agreement was not tough enough. He then reinstated sanctions and urged Iranian leaders to renegotiate another deal. But Iran is in no mood to negotiate and takes steps to annoy Trump: detaining cargo

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  • Global Economy Struggles With Negative Rates0

    • Blog
    • November 7, 2019

    To sustain economic growth, central banks in advanced economies have steadily reduced interest rates, encouraging consumers to spend. About 30 percent of the world’s investment-grade securities is in negative rate territory – which means lenders and savers pay others to use their funds. But economies are not so easily moved. “Cheapening money to incentivize economic

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  • Fighting Words: US and China Clash on Free Speech0

    • Blog
    • October 17, 2019

    Businesses around the world eye the massive Chinese market, and for professional basketball, that market makes up around 10 percent of NBA gross revenue. A tweet sent by the general manager of the Houston Rockets in support of the Hong Kong protests has jeopardized a market worth billions of dollars. The tweet prompted contrasting responses:

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  • Saudi Crown Prince’s Self-Inflicted Isolation0

    • Blog
    • October 10, 2019

    by Dilip Hiro 10 October 2019 Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman is aggressive in his pursuit of power. His efforts to gain a global reputation as a reformer for Saudi Arabia and foster good relations with the United States under Donald Trump have done little to mask a series of misadventures that have left him

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  • India’s Act East Policy and Manipur0

    • Blog
    • September 5, 2019

    India’s Prime Minister Narendra Modi has pursued an “Act East Policy,” intended to strengthen Indo-Pacific strategic relationships, regional political stability, and economic exchanges with Myanmar and other members of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations, or ASEAN. Stronger ties require stabilizing the region near India’s northeast border with Myanmar. India’s state of Manipur, with about

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  • After the Kashmir Move: India-Pakistan Relations0

    By revoking a temporary constitutional provision, India has stripped Jammu and Kashmir of statehood and special autonomous status, with an expectation of new investment and development for the Muslim-majority area under dispute. “Article 370 repeal has ratcheted up bilateral tensions in a big way, ensuring that India-Pakistan relations will be on tenterhooks for the foreseeable

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